It's Time To Make Money - 2018 NBA Draft Odds Are Out And We Have Winners
Sure, the NBA Draft might be a chance for your team to get better. But, it’s also a time for you to get richer. That’s the beauty of this great country. We have odds for tomorrow’s Draft out there right now thanks to Oddsshark and we’ll take a look at what values we like and try to get rich. I see no flaws with this theory.
Yeah, the odds suck, but this is a no-brainer that Bagley is going in the top-3. Right now he’s really the only one that has come out and said he wants to play in Sacramento, who has the No. 2 pick. You know what? I love that he has that mentality. A bunch of other top prospects have pretty much tried to force their way out of Sacramento by either not sharing medicals or just flat out saying they aren’t interested in playing there. Bagley going in the top-3 is a no-brainer here.
Here’s one that’s a real interesting line. Brunson is the perfect fit for a team like the Warriors, Sixers, Nets and Hawks. I can see him going to any of these teams who have late first round picks. He’s the type of guy who is going to be in the league as a backup point guard for quite some time, something we’ve seen have value lately. Just look at Fred VanVleet and what he was able to do and the value he has. I think Brunson is going to be at least that if not better. I like the value here for him to be a first round pick at +115, however there are only about 4 spots for him to land. There’s a legit chance he falls to the second round, but I’ll roll with the value at +115.
Here’s another one that is just the perfect line. Carter has been mocked anywhere from No. 6 to No. 12/13 with the Clippers. Carter has flown a bit under the radar in terms of where he is as a prospect during the year, simply because he had to play alongside Marvin Bagley. Now he seems to be ‘the other’ big when you talk guys like Bagley/Ayton/Bamba/Jackson. That said, Carter is one of the smartest players in the draft and is an excellent passer from the high post. He does have the ability to hit that shot (he shot 41% from three despite shooting just 46 times). That said there are two chances for him to land in the top-7. There’s a chance Orlando takes him, but I’d look at Chicago at 7. It all depends on Michael Porter Jr., but I’m going to take the Carter going in the top-7 for -110.
Here’s where something crazy can happen and I’d hold off on placing this bet if possible. If the Spurs trade Kawhi Leonard to the Suns, they would take Luka Doncic first. I don’t think the Kings trade that No. 2 pick and they seem to be totally out on Doncic. That means it looks like he’s going No. 3 – especially with the Hawks talking more about how they are interested in him. Barring a trade that’s where he’s going to end up. He’s not going top-2 without that happening. Take the 3 or worse at -220 or wait a day and see if there are any updates about a trade involving the Suns or Kings.
Donte has been a guy who really jumped up the charts this year, especially after the Combine. Not only did he test well but he played well during the 5-on-5 event. That said, you have to look at fit for teams, especially if there isn’t a trade. That’s really what it just comes down to with something like this. Donte isn’t going to go in the lottery, so let’s look at teams 15-18. At 15 you have the Wizards – they need help elsewhere so that one we can skip. At 16 you have the Suns – they will likely need a wing, but they’ll probably go with Zhaire or Lonnie Walker, whoever falls there between the two. At 17 you have Milwaukee. That’s actually an intriguing spot for Donte as he’s a guy who can catch and shoot and help out Giannis there. That’s the spot I worry about him going to. That said I still think he falls in that 19-22 range so I’ll take 19 or worse for -180.
Jaren Jackson has been the darling of draft season. Everyone seemed to fall in love with him, knowing he was playing out of position in a crowded frontcourt at Michigan State while having all the tools to translate to the modern NBA. He can protect the rim, he’s the youngest player in the Draft and can also shoot the ball, especially for his size. I thought he was going to be the pick for the Hawks until these recent reports with Doncic taking the lead there. That’s essentially the debate. Do the Hawks take Doncic, JJJ or Trae. I’m going to take one of the other two and say Jackson falls to Memphis at 4.
Outside of Trae Young, MPJ might be the one player that is the biggest question mark for everyone. However, that’s mostly due to his medical concerns. We don’t know what his medicals look like and he’s been able to keep it from leaking. He’s been rumored to go 2nd to the Kings and all the way down to the Cavs at 8. That said, he’s been essentially saying he doesn’t want to play in Sacramento. There’s a chance Memphis could take him at 4 or Dallas at 5. I do think Dallas goes with a big and they seemed to be locked in on Bamba assuming he’s there. So I’m going to take him in Chicago or Cleveland at 7/8 and take that bet for +120.
I’m doubling down here. If you think Jalen Brunson is going in the first round, you take three at +125 here. Now if you don’t think Brunson is going to be a first rounder I like two here at -110, it’s better value than just taking Brunson not in the first round. I know Omari Spellman is there, but he’s not going to be a first round pick. He’s floating around No. 40ish so he’s not in play here. That said, I took Brunson going in the first round, so I’ll take three Nova players selected in the first round.
I know people hate Trae Young, but he’s going to go 7 or better. There are logical picks with Atlanta, Orlando and Chicago taking Young. He has one of those things that you can’t absolutely teach in the sense of passing. Young is an excellent passer that doesn’t get enough credit because people look at his turnovers. Again, I can’t stress enough how bad his teammates were at Oklahoma. Yes, he did try to force at times, but his passing is wildly undervalued. Give me him 7 or better for -140.
I’m a bit surprised that this is -150. Trent is an unreal shooting, but that’s all he’s bringing to the team. He’s not a defensive player, but that said he has a role with his ability to shoot. To me it seems like he’s the type of player that Golden State tends to like or possibly Atlanta at 30. That said those are the only two spots I see him landing in the first round unless a trade happens. I’m going to take the value here and go with No at +120, though I think he goes very early in the 2nd round.